Advertising market still cautious but consumers starting to feel better

Anna Moull

7 August 2025

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AI, Media Transparency & Creativity in 2025: What’s Next?

Lexlab’s Alfie Lagos on the Road to Australian Ad Market Recovery

The Australian ad market recovery may not be roaring back just yet, but signs of improvement are gaining traction. According to Guideline SMI data, media agency bookings fell 7.1% in June. Yet this dip was anticipated, driven largely by post-election slowdowns and government budget tightening. Bright spots include strong growth in cinema (+12.6%) and outdoor advertising (+5.4%), along with resilience in digital video and retail categories.

Lexlab founder Alfie Lagos urges the industry to zoom out. While the numbers show a dip, they mask broader sentiment gains. Consumer confidence is at its highest level in over three years, and business confidence has also edged up, supported by better-than-expected retail performance and steady investment in performance media. Lagos argues that the market isn’t retreating, it’s hesitating, and that’s a very different narrative.

He also highlights the potential upside if the Reserve Bank takes bolder action. Despite signs that the economy is stabilising, rates remain unchanged at 3.85%. For Lagos, this is a missed opportunity to catalyse growth and support business confidence.

More brands are shifting budget into measurable, high-impact channels, OOH, cinema, digital audio and video. The market is redistributing itself, not disappearing. Marketers who invest now are well positioned to gain share as the economy strengthens.

This moment of Australian ad market recovery is about more than rebound stats. It’s about interpreting soft signals and preparing for what comes next. And for those paying attention, the message is clear: consumer demand is returning. It’s time to lead, not lag.

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